De afgelopen decennia was de status van de Amerikaanse dollar als wereldreservemunt onbetwist, maar de laatste jaren zou ik dat niet meer met overtuiging durven te zeggen. Sommige landen hebben al voorzichtig de overstap gemaakt in euro’s of lokale valuta voor internationale betalingen, terwijl andere landen soortgelijke stappen overwegen. De recente ontwikkelingen in Saoedi-Arabië kunnen deze transitie in een stroomversnelling brengen.
Wereldreservemunt
Natuurlijk heeft de dollar nog steeds diepe wortels. Niet alleen omdat de meeste internationale transacties in deze valuta plaatsvinden, maar ook omdat centrale banken al decennia lang dollarreserves verzameld hebben om dit monetaire systeem te ondersteunen. Landen als China en Japan hebben bijvoorbeeld ruim $1 biljoen aan Amerikaanse staatsobligaties op hun balans staan, waardoor ook zij er geen belang bij hebben om de dollar helemaal te laten vallen. En dan hebben we het nog niet eens over het feit dat er over de hele wereld in dollars geleend wordt, waarmee een voortdurende vraag naar deze munt ontstaat.
Een transitie van de dollar naar een nieuw monetair systeem zal daarom denk ik niet van de ene op de andere dag plaatsvinden, maar we moeten er wel serieus rekening mee houden dat het exorbitante privilege van de Verenigde Staten zal verdwijnen. De meest voor de hand liggende reden daarvoor is dat het economische zwaartepunt in de wereld naar Azië verschuift.
Olie in yuan
Neem bijvoorbeeld Saoedi-Arabië, een van de grootste producenten van olie in de wereld. Van alle olie die dit land produceert gaat ruim twee derde richting Azië, tegenover slechts een vijfde deel voor het hele Amerikaanse continent en een tiende deel voor de Europese markt. Waarom zou Saoedi-Arabië nog in dollars blijven handelen, als haar belangrijkste klanten in Azië zitten?
Als China graag de olie uit Saoedi-Arabië in de Chinese yuan wil afrekenen, dat moeten die twee landen daar onderling uit kunnen komen. Zeker als Chinese bereid is te investeren in de economie van Saoedi-Arabië. Ook lukte het Iran vorig jaar om olie in euro’s af te rekenen, zowel voor de export richting Europa als voor de export naar China en India. En daar krijgt het land veel investeringen vanuit Europa voor terug!
Petrodollar
Toen Saoedi-Arabië en de Verenigde Staten een deal sloten om olie uitsluitend in dollars te verhandelen was er geen levensvatbaar alternatief, omdat alleen de dollar in die tijd voldoende liquiditeit en omvang had om olie mee te verhandelen. Andere landen konden het daar wel niet meer eens zijn, een beter alternatief was er toen eigenlijk niet.
Die situatie is vandaag de dag wel anders. Met de komst van de euro is er een tweede wereldmunt, een neutrale en onpartijdige valuta die door alle landen gebruikt kan worden om olie mee af te rekenen. En dan heb je natuurlijk China, dat nu al de grootste importeur van olie is en binnen afzienbare tijd ook de grootste verbruiker van olie zal worden. En daarmee kan China ook meer haar stempel op de oliemarkt drukken.
Belangrijk is om de ontwikkelingen in Saoedi-Arabië de komende tijd goed te volgen. Een nieuwe regering rond kroonprins Mohammed bin Salman kan de deur openen naar een nieuw tijdperk, waarin andere landen opnieuw onderhandelingen zullen voeren. En daarmee zou olie in yuan en olie in euro wel eens een grote vlucht kunnen nemen.
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31 gedachten over “Saoedi-Arabië versnelt neergang van de petrodollar?”
De V.S. doen verwoede pogingen om Saoedi Arabië binnen de $ en V.s. sfeer te houden door o.m. partij te kiezen t.a.v. de oorlog in Jemen. Zoals reeds eerder gesteld, vormen zij een coalitie met Egypte, de Golfstaten en Israël tegen het sjiitische machtsblok Iran-Turkeije-Irak. Volgens de voorspellingen zal er tussen deze machtsblokken een oorlog uitbreken, waarbij Saoedi Arabië vernietigd wordt en Egypte overrompeld.. Israël zal de Samson optie toepassen en nucleair de sjiitische overmacht en landen vernietigen. (voorzegt* door de profeet Zacharias).
De dag dat Israël besluit Iran aan te vallen, met wat voor smoesje dan ook (ze zijn een meester in situaties in scene zetten) dan zal de oorlog een feit zijn!
Alles is oorlog. In de ogen van de globalisten.
S.A. is het product van de globalisten, en sindsdien een werktuig voor hen.
De toekomst van de wereldmunt is al lang bepaald:
‘Trump Declares One World Currency – Global Reset Sooner than most think’: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2hi1vdvh12A :
Ook zeer interessant/ontluisterend:
http://www.boublog.nl/2017/10/15/cruise-schip-the-world-woonboot-der-ultra-rijken/
Nogal wild verwoord; doch beslist informatief om de (historische) context te begrijpen van de rol van SA tbv. het globalisme: https://stevenbrownsblog.wordpress.com/2017/11/08/what-youre-not-being-told-about-the-islam-killer-royals-crisis-in-middle-ages-saudi-arabia/
Het probleem voor China maar Rusland dat VS en ook de EU middels sanctiebeleid, ofwel economische oorlogvoering, de Wereld wit onderwerpen aan de VS, ofwel de joodse lobby.
Dat terwijl de economische verhandelingen nu juist in China maar ook Rusland plaats vinden.
China en Rusland wensen om daar vanaf te komen en de tijd is er rijp voor.
M.A.W. het is nu of nooit voor China en Rusland.
Er is heden een voorbereiding gaande in Europa (NATO) om een aanval te plaatsen op Rusland of in ieder geval de Dreiging zo groot te maken dat men hoopt dat Rusland gaat buigen.
Wat naar mijn mening niet gaat gebeuren met als gevolg een werkelijke wanhoopsdaad van VS/EU.
Heb eerder het gevoel dat VS op de knieën gaat.
Niet meer te reorganiseren staatsschuld en een militaire uitrusting waar de Russen zich zowat dood lachen.
Heel belangrijk vrijd
Noord Korea kan nog roet in het eten gooien. De kans dat de situatie daar verkeerd gaat is momenteel hoger dan in het midden oosten. Ook is mogelijk dat na een verzwakking van de V.S. (als Noord Korea het eerste toeslaat) daarna het midden oosten ontploft omdat een sterk V.S. cruciaal is voor de wereldvrede (sterkste lid NAVO, meeste internationale basissen voor vliegdekschepen). De V.S. zal militair gezien nooit buigen voor wie dan ook, alleen stel dat het zich voordient dat Noord Korea als eerste besluit NUCLEAIR aan te vallen dan zal dit zo’n verzwakking te weeg brengen dat het midden oosten helemaal opengebroken wordt.
Noord Korea zal het wel uit zijn hooft halen om aantevalen er is geen winst te behalen.
Daarbij komt dat ze dan de steun van China verliezen de Chinese hebben heel duidelijk gemaakt Noord Korea te steunen als dit land door wie dan ook wordt aangevallen.
De VS zal zich wel twee keer bedenken om Noord Korea aantevallen en daar door een oorlog met China te riskeren.
Waarom zou Saoedi-Arabië nog in dollars blijven handelen omdat ze militair afhankelijk zijn van Amerika.
China en Rusland steunen Iran al alleen daarom al zal Saoedi-Arabië de olie in dollars blijven afreken.
Vergeet ook niet dat de VS dit niet snel zal toe staan.
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